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Ghana will fail at the 2014 World Cup, global sports analysis firm predicts

In addition to Spain and Brazil, the projected semifinalists are Germany and Argentina, meaning there aren't any real surprises by that stage of the competition.  The notable surprises, at least based on prior performances, are that Greece will advance from Group C, over Ivory Coast and Japan, and Uruguay, semifinalists in 2010, will not advance from Group D, with England and Italy progressing from that group.

Bloomberg Sports says the Black Stars will finish bottom of Group G at the World Cup

Ghana will bomb out of the World Cup at the group stage in June and the Black Stars will finish at the bottom of Group G, a highly-respected global sports analysis firm has predicted.

Bloomberg Sports, a firm in Europe that provides the most accurate data-driven match analysis as well as projections and in-depth analysis for all the major leagues in Europe, says the World Cup in Brazil will be Ghana’s worst-ever showing in the global tournament.

They claim Ghana will finish 25th in the 32-team tournament which means it will be the Black Stars’ worst appearance at the World Cup. (See tables below)

They predict that Ghana will finish bottom of the Group of Death which includes USA, Germany and Portugal.

Their predictions are based on 100,000 simulations for every game throughout the tournament.

Based on that, Ghana are given the fourth-best chance to make it to the knock-out rounds in their group, though they are given a 27 percent chance to advance.

The Black Stars are given a 4.4 percent chance to make it to the semifinals, and a 0.4 percent chance of winning it all — not great odds, but not the longest among the field, either, as five teams have been given a 0.1 percent chance of winning the tournament.

They do not think the Black Stars will get out of the Group of Death, as Germany and Portugal will represent Group G in the knockout stages.

In fact, Bloomberg Sports says no African team to get out of their group, as both Nigeria and Ivory Coast have been given the low chances in their respective groups.

The same applies to Cameroon and Algeria.

In addition to Spain and Brazil, the projected semifinalists are Germany and Argentina, meaning there aren’t any real surprises by that stage of the competition.

The notable surprises, at least based on prior performances, are that Greece will advance from Group C, over Ivory Coast and Japan, and Uruguay, semifinalists in 2010, will not advance from Group D, with England and Italy progressing from that group.

Ghana have previously defied such predictions and were able to reach the knock-out phases of the 2006 and 2010 World Cups.

2014 FIFA World Cup Projections
BSports utilised its unparalleled data analytics technology to create its own World Cup projections, aimed at calculating the percentage probabilities for each country’s finish in the tournament.

World Cup Projections By Group

Group AePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Brazil7.51100.0%72.5%49.5%31.7%22.1%
Cameroon2.1518.1%5.6%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Mexico3.6043.6%19.2%7.4%2.8%1.2%
Croatia3.2938.3%14.1%5.2%1.4%0.7%
Group BePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Spain5.8277.0%46.8%29.3%16.9%9.2%
Chile3.9048.0%23.2%10.8%4.7%1.9%
Australia1.7310.2%3.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Netherlands4.9864.8%36.1%20.3%10.4%5.0%
Group CePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Colombia5.4771.4%40.5%18.5%10.3%4.2%
Ivory Coast3.2136.1%12.9%4.9%1.7%0.6%
Japan3.4440.1%16.8%5.4%2.2%0.7%
Greece4.2052.3%24.0%9.7%4.5%1.5%
Group DePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Uruguay4.8462.1%32.0%15.8%6.8%2.9%
Italy4.9363.5%32.6%16.3%8.2%2.9%
Costa Rica1.8412.0%3.3%0.9%0.2%0.1%
England4.8662.4%31.6%16.7%7.8%3.4%
Group EePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Switzerland4.0049.4%20.2%7.1%2.4%0.9%
Ecuador3.9047.8%18.7%6.1%2.5%0.7%
Honduras2.6626.9%7.8%1.8%0.5%0.2%
France5.7675.9%39.8%19.7%9.1%4.0%
Group FePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Argentina7.0393.8%59.2%36.7%20.5%11.4%
Nigeria3.2637.7%13.8%5.2%1.7%0.6%
Iran2.5224.7%7.5%2.4%0.4%0.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.6243.7%16.4%6.1%2.2%0.7%
Group GePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Germany6.1780.9%52.6%32.4%19.4%12.0%
Ghana2.6827.0%11.7%4.4%1.2%0.4%
United States2.8730.3%12.8%5.0%1.6%0.5%
Portugal4.8261.8%35.0%18.2%8.7%4.0%
Group HePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Belgium6.3384.2%46.5%25.4%14.0%6.3%
Algeria2.6026.1%7.9%2.2%0.8%0.2%
South Korea3.1134.9%11.9%3.4%1.0%0.1%
Russia4.3254.8%23.6%10.5%3.6%1.2%

World Cup Projections by Country

CountryePtsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalChamps
Brazil7.51100.0%72.5%49.5%31.7%22.1%
Germany6.1780.9%52.6%32.4%19.4%12.0%
Argentina7.0393.8%59.2%36.7%20.5%11.4%
Spain5.8277.0%46.8%29.3%16.9%9.2%
Belgium6.3384.2%46.5%25.4%14.0%6.3%
Netherlands4.9864.8%36.1%20.3%10.4%5.0%
Colombia5.4771.4%40.5%18.5%10.3%4.2%
Portugal4.8261.8%35.0%18.2%8.7%4.0%
France5.7675.9%39.8%19.7%9.1%4.0%
England4.8662.4%31.6%16.7%7.8%3.4%
Uruguay4.8462.1%32.0%15.8%6.8%2.9%
Italy4.9363.5%32.6%16.3%8.2%2.9%
Chile3.9048.0%23.2%10.8%4.7%1.9%
Greece4.2052.3%24.0%9.7%4.5%1.5%
Russia4.3254.8%23.6%10.5%3.6%1.2%
Mexico3.6043.6%19.2%7.4%2.8%1.2%
Switzerland4.0049.4%20.2%7.1%2.4%0.9%
Japan3.4440.1%16.8%5.4%2.2%0.7%
Croatia3.2938.3%14.1%5.2%1.4%0.7%
Ecuador3.9047.8%18.7%6.1%2.5%0.7%
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.6243.7%16.4%6.1%2.2%0.7%
Nigeria3.2637.7%13.8%5.2%1.7%0.6%
Ivory Coast3.2136.1%12.9%4.9%1.7%0.6%
United States2.8730.3%12.8%5.0%1.6%0.5%
Ghana2.6827.0%11.7%4.4%1.2%0.4%
Algeria2.6026.1%7.9%2.2%0.8%0.2%
Honduras2.6626.9%7.8%1.8%0.5%0.2%
South Korea3.1134.9%11.9%3.4%1.0%0.1%
Cameroon2.1518.1%5.6%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Iran2.5224.7%7.5%2.4%0.4%0.1%
Australia1.7310.2%3.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Costa Rica1.8412.0%3.3%0.9%0.2%0.1%

Do you think the predictions by Bloomberg are right? Make your views known in the box below:

READERS COMMENTS

  1. wee ba says:

    THIS IS ANOTHER BULLSHIT COMING FROM A BULLS MOUTH

  2. j. white says:

    Ghanasoccernet, by now you guys should have realized it’s not proper to have black font colour against blue background. The two colours are very close, and that makes it really painful to the eye reading what you’ve written. Whoever is administering this website must quickly change this!

  3. Kwabena says:

    What is their website address? They are a right bunch of racists! They need to be told that in the face. A bunch of idiots!

  4. Coach says:

    Stupid analysis, when you are drunk and intoxicated, you begin to make irresponsible ranking,Ghana is in the top 4 teams who can win this world cup

  5. Rich Man says:

    GSN, pls we your cherish readers will appreciate it very much if you can do something about the colour blue you are using for your back ground!
    Thanks!

  6. A concerned citizen says:

    This is a “Lottery forcast”

  7. texas says:

    We also have our prediction and that is, there will be all African final at Brazil 2014. They are saying this because they know the corrupt FIFA and their referees will be at their best when it comes to doing everything possible to frustrate the African teams. The five African teams can match any of those teams from Europe, Asia and the Americas boot for boot without fear or favor. It is such predictions that will rather motivate our African teams to fight even harder.

  8. hashmula says:

    an asshole analysis
    no wonder they hype our players and they underrate our team
    demma modas

  9. Rich Man says:

    They should be seating down there dreaming, before they will say Jack!, African country has taken the rest of the world by surprise!
    Ghana should be watch out!

  10. Rich Man says:

    They should be sitting down there dreaming, before they will say Jack!, African country has taken the rest of the world by surprise!
    Ghana should be watch out!

  11. Benito says:

    They come out with this piece of shit every world cup which doesn’t work.to hell with your predictions!!! We will always prove you guys wrong…bullshit!!!!!

  12. Benito says:

    Bunch of racists!!!how Greece be better than ivory coast?? I don’t know why gsn waste time posting this crap !!!

  13. beautiful says:

    statistics don’t play football. let us be. we will show them with the talents we have. the coach just has to invite achaempong to add pace to our squad. Ghana will even be dangerous than brazil itself.

  14. essel henry says:

    I think it’s about 40% accurate…to some extent…however the bloomberg should explain the high premium on..germany, spain, france and belgium…not because of the big name they have I europe…but the way the team is being built psychologically and technically.lndeed l think there is too much politics into the affairs of managing black stars.espercially in the area where is money…..it may be a source from the media or the FA….they mus becarefull because it can affect the team performance..the bad chracter among some personality is too much…stop thinking about big names which doesnt play foot ball in recent times and pick those on their feet who can realy play the game with passion.and the media too is moving too far…they should know their limit..pls thank yu

  15. Bright Baffour says:

    Ghana will show them who we really are.
    PEOPLE DON’T WIN CHAMPIONSHIP, PLAYERS DO, REMEMBER THAT!

  16. obmaxboa says:

    This guys are suffering from ebola virus, and they will die b4 the wc starts. What school did they attend? Foolish pigs

  17. delo-dino says:

    stupid analyst dat wl not fly ghana wl shoch them all to reach de final

  18. askantwi says:

    One reason ghana always beats USA is that they are always prejudiced agaisnt ghana. US usually respects Nigeria, Ivory Coast and Cameroon but not Ghana. They always rate them above ghana no matter what. This is why Ghana would continue to beat anytime anywhere anyhow.

  19. selfmade says:

    I saw this article about three months ago at bleacherreports and am surprised it has turn out to be an expert analysis of a so called firm! This is a bogus predictions and only fools ll take serious!!

  20. selfmade says:

    I saw this article about two months ago in bleacher report and am surprised it has rather turned out to be an expert analysis from a so vlled firm! This is bogus analysis and only fools ll take this racist rantings from these MCDONALD’S JUNKIES SERIOUSLY!

    • Assemblyman says:

      selfmade,I agree with you but we should also think of the bench of our blackstars.Actually the task on the shoulders of Akwasi Appiah is a herculean one.If someone says he doesnt need a technical help or a boast on his confidence.The person must use our performance at the AFCON in South Africa to prove me wrong…Besides they are the same people who are not being honest in the selections..They want to send half baked players to achieve results.Meanwhile they dont have the technical head to play a particular formation system to counter over their opponents.Our friendlies with Korea and Holland will prove the sort of coach we have.

  21. selfmade says:

    I saw this article about two months ago in bleacher report and am surprised it has rather turned out to be an expert analysis from a so global firm! This is bogus analysis and only fools ll take this racist rantings from these MCDONALD’S JUNKIES SERIOUSLY!

  22. saiko says:

    gud analysis,which of the ctries can we beat,this foreign blckstar is only going to waste the tax payers money.when everyone is talkn abt the use of local materials,our team is made up of players who play in third tie leagues in erope n asia

    • OGYA says:

      You moron, why don’t you take a close look at your so called local material or players. They stink to the hill.Have you ever seen any game between your best teams in Ghana? Pure garbage. Running up and down the pitch like animals with no heads. Take them to Brazil and we will be thrashed 10-0

  23. sam va says:

    For some reason I am not very confident with our current crop of players. Most of them are either getting old or inexperienced.Also our coach is not one who can read a game and vary his tactics. So I personally think this world cup would not favor us.

    • OGYA says:

      Please which players are you looking at? You must be blind.

      • samva says:

        We have an inexperienced goalkeeper in fatau dauda,our lateral defenders are yet to convince me that they can handle a tough opponent.our most dependable trio of boateng, sulley and essien are not what they used to be,judging from their matches i have watched so far.andre ayew has lost some speed that made him so fearful,so our only weapon is kwadwo asamoah,asamoah gyan and warris.So if our substitutes (atsu,adoma,jordan,wakaso and the rest dont step up their game and make up for the older ones we are done.Also kwesi appiah needs to know when to make the neccessary changes.I still think this world cup is going to be a very difficult one for us.

  24. Assemblyman says:

    we are watching them closely with our 3D glasses strongly activated.They shouldnt forget that Ghana has performed greatly at our previous world cups with Czech Republic and Serbia being true contenders but they never made it than Ghana slipping through to then next stages.
    But should we fail at the world cup it will provide the basis for sacking Ali Baba Nyantakyi and his 12 thieves who win always the FA elections unopposed.
    In all we shouldnt have a problem should we fix the right players to play in Brazil.As well as being honest is greatly important in the selection processes.
    Instead of Akwasi Appiah and Nassamu Yakubu recommending Kwarasey to gain confidence.They are the ones who are supposed to see a psychologist to work on their confidence.Because the pressure might be too great for them..
    All the best to our Blackstars though..I will be in the stands to cheer them up regardless.

  25. ISHMEAL says:

    No matter what they say, we the Africans BELIEVE that the star is our limit we would not loose guard. The black stars will shock the world again. WE ARE BLACKS AND OURS STARS WILL SHOW THAT THEY HAVE TALENT BETTER THAN WHITE RACIST LIKE THOSE STUPID ANALYST. IF WE ARE CHEATED JUST THE WAY THE BLACK MAIDENS WERE CHEATED THEN WE WILL CLAP FOR THEM. IDIOTIC FOOLS

  26. ike says:

    The field will decide!! God willing BS will upset some teams!!! Go BS GO!!!

  27. Fuck that says:

    Germany can not bt Ghana. U S A can not! Gooooo Gh

  28. NONI(9JA 1ST SON) says:

    Most times i just regret being a black man because pf the way GAYNAIANS reason…. What were you guys expecting to hear???? that GHANA will lift the world cup in BRAZIL????? Tweeeeeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaaaa……. Only a foolish man will reason that way koraaa….. Nice prediction though i predicted it first that GHANA will disgrace Africa…. watch out….

    • spellBOUND says:

      hahaha, u this kwasia boy, the first time they give u computer privileges in prison, u use it to log onto GSN.. its true that some ghanians live in fantasy land in terms of our chances at the mundial, but that does not mean we cannot go far. in your next life, u can ask God to make u white… idiot..

      NONI(9JA 1ST HE-GOAT)

  29. Analist says:

    What most of you Ghanaians forget is that your team has bn lucky in the past w/cups bcos of the relatively soft groups you wer drawn in, this time the tables have turned

  30. Ostia says:

    Nigeria,CIV n Algeria will make Africa rock this time around.

  31. Napoleon T Annan-Yartey says:

    This is my prediction Ghana is going to surprise Germany, and Portugal no matter how the dice is played because those two teams are not God they are human players and humans are subject to mistakes,and injuries so the prediction made by bloomberg is bullshit

    Also let me remind the author that USA also can beat either one of the teams Ghana, Germany, or Portugal

    so please stop the hot air you are not a soccer player, if you dont have anything better to say about USA and Ghana Please shut up your bullshit mouth
    “Bloomberg do not know soccer”

  32. speelo25 says:

    Noni bastard do u know ur father fool u want to be a white man by spirit?kwasiaaaa wat do u know about soccer? foolish mother fucker.I put bomb on u mother f I will make sure all it kids dnt grow.

  33. GHANSON says:

    Don’t pay no mind to the demons.. they fill You with Fear..
    GHANA shall overcome.
    VICTORY Awaits BS..

  34. OHENENANA says:

    This is good we arealways the underdogs just like in 2006 and 2010 and we keep suprising everyone in 2006 people tought italy and czechs would go through and ghana would be last we beat czechs and qualified for the next round in 2010 they tought germany and serbia and ghana and australia will fight for place 3 we beat serbia and qualied for the next round and even almost to the semis they keep underrating us and we keep suprising them the same will happen this year we will beat us and portugal draw with germany and we will beat who ever comes in out why by gods will we will atleast go to the semis maybe even finals its possible we have the youth expirience quality and potential to do that ghana is just as good as teams like england italy and uruguay last world cup we where better than those teams only uruguay was lucky to het away on penalties dont believe ghana is a strong team time we will show them

  35. anokwale says:

    Their analysis is correct for betting purposes. Most heavy bettors would use this particular information. However, in reality, we know that at least one African and one Asian team will find a way through. Like Italy and France in 2010, some of the usual powerhouses will fall.

  36. Ro says:

    Absolute nonsense!!! This psychological strategy to weaken the strong minds of the Black Stars they are scared off. The Ghana Black Stars will remain composed, compact and strong in mind and play any team like lions and defeat them. Ghana Black will prevail! The Ghana Black Stars will not listen to any devil philosophy!!! Amen to That!

  37. stephenson attiah kwaw says:

    hmmmmmm,since i was born i have never seen score prdictor on pich playing for their sooo called teams.how can white predict good thing for black.they also mean good for their racist coulor;lol.I WILL KEEP SAYING,they think ronaldo is the only player on the field or what players are they having that GHANA is not having or what players is germany having that GHANA is not having.the person who predicted this is a good racist and knows where he is comming from and this should tell us what FIFA have for blacks.I KNOW GHANA is going to take it GAME BY GAME and look all their plans is week because at look of things and action of ghana players now tells me GHANA is going to bring HOME THE WORLD CUP TO GHANA;IT WILL BE a great suprise because the will bribe the refree but GOD will intervain. THEY will bribe the coach and board directors of GHANA FIFA,look they will take the money but GOD will make thier plans fails.IT IS A PROFECY,MARK IT ON THE WALL

    • stephenson attiah kwaw says:

      there is one thing this predictor has not learnt from GHANA and i am going to point it out to him today :10 ghana doest not play with fame players 20 GHANA is a nation that loosing is a sin to us.EVEN if ghana plays with players from the street to crash portugal or germany,they are going to crash them to the dust because we are having good team spirit which means loosing is a sin to the nation but this predictor has not notice it.NOW i think this predictor has push me to the wall to predict the doom of thier so called teams.GHANA 3:0 PORTUGAL. GHANA 2:0 GERMANY.GHANA 4:1 USA.

      • stephenson attiah kwaw says:

        que ca cest ecart de buts.une buts de ecart pour GHANA 2:0 ALLEMAGNE,deux buts ecart pour GHANA 3:0 PORTUGAL,et deux buts de ecart pour notre femme GHANA 4:1 USA. GHANA 1ER, ALLEMAGNE 2EM,PORTUGAL 3EM,USA 4EM.ca ces not equipe,yapas lhomme pour nous.je aim mon payee plus et mon payee vas arrivé au final et ill vas ramporté cup ou final.BIGS UP TO GH

  38. Midori is my hero says:

    I do agree. I don’t think ghana can proceed. I’m sorry

  39. Idris says:

    Me too ,just being honest Ghana is just making up the numbers…no lucky draw dis time around.

  40. Prophet_Adonai says:

    Oh who is claiming to be God with what analytical syndrom?
    I say again the first shall be the last and the last shall be the first. You can play and play and possess and possess but cannot score. You can come on the field with world best and still not play anything. All thay i am saying is that lets hope in God than the best players because football is talent and gift from God so only God can win matches through teams. If its Ghana its surely Ghana because God has made it so and not analysis.

  41. Hey says:

    How come Brazil has a 100% chance of getting to the round of 16 …. That is statistically impossible as there are other possibilities (such as two other teams getting out of the group). However small the possibility is there still exists the possibility of Brazil not making it out of the group. From this point alone I would guess that these predictions and calculations should not be taken seriously.

  42. Lifestyle says:

    I think its not going to be easy, but the boys can do it because they are hungry for success and this is the platform they need. Players like Essien will have to kiss his career bye bye if he does not use this world cup to re-launch himself, Akwasi Appiah is an inspiration to all Ghanaians and needs to prove to the world that the Ghana man is capable of handling his own affairs. Only two things can happen, we fail and fail miserably or put Ghana on the spotlight once again.

  43. pabene says:

    Worry not guys, their analysis will turn upside down and their company will crumble just like that.

  44. kwaku asare says:

    Guess I agree with the stats.African teams are just made up of useless, greedy and indisciplined players.
    They will all come home